As Longtime Readers know, I used to work in the Stat Research department of a Great Big Research Company, so I know a little about numbers.
Here’s the problem with statistics. They’re a great tool for providing context — e.g. if unemploment now is at 3.7% and it was 7.2% during the reign of the sainted Obama, then things are better for the labor force now than they were then. (Unless of course you’re a socialist, for whom a lower unemployment rate is disastrous because then they can’t make more people dependent on the State.)
In doing further (non-statistical) analysis, however, the problem then becomes less statistical and more historical. Here’s an example.
Morris Fiorina of the Hoover Institution is doing his best Chip Diller / Animal House act (“Remain calm! All is well!”) in looking at how the majority of the American populace is less political than the politically-active / -aware, thus:
To understand contemporary American political life, you should begin with the realization that most of the people blabbering on cable television, venting on Facebook, and/or fulminating on Twitter are abnormal. They are abnormally interested and involved in politics, they tend to occupy the policy extremes, and they are abnormally opinionated. As of today, there are about 235 million eligible voters in the United States. About one percent of them subscribe to either The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal. Liberals rail against Fox News and conservatives against MSNBC; they should take consolation in the fact that the Fox viewing audience is about one percent of the eligible electorate while news shows on MSNBC fall short of that.
Some suggest that the internet and social media have replaced the older print and electronic media, but the available research does not support that suggestion. If “hundreds of millions of people” really were doing politics on social media, I would share Hanson’s worries, but such a claim overstates the number of social media activists by several orders of magnitude. A 2013 Facebook study that tracked Bing toolbar searches found that 96 percent of the users clicked on zero or one opinion column in a three-month period. In 2017 the Pew Research Center reported that less than four percent of adults consider Twitter an important source of news.
In many respects the American electorate has changed surprisingly little in more than six decades. In 2016 about 10 percent of the eligible electorate made a campaign contribution—to any campaign at any level, the same figure as in the 1950s. Despite media hype about Obamamania in 2008 and Trump rallies in 2016, less than 10 percent of the eligible electorate attended any kind of campaign meeting or rally in those years, the same figure as six decades ago. As for people who knock on doors or make phone calls for campaigns, we are talking about two to three percent of the eligible electorate, the same small proportion as in the Eisenhower era.
And so on. To be fair, Fiorina does allow that our polity has become more polarized (he calls it “sorted”) since the 1950s, but this is where history starts to stick its nose into statistical analysis. If the Eisenhower era, for example, was not as polarized as today’s, then one shouldn’t look at the former as the comparator. Rather, we should look at times when political and public opinion was polarized to get a proper perspective. And you don’t have to be a dorky historian (such as I) to find two excellent examples of that. Ladies and gentlemen, I give you 1776 and 1860 – and in both cases, what happened was war: revolutionary in the first case and civil in the second.
The only argument to be made is whether today’s polity is as polarized as those were back then — and I would suggest that the correct answer is: not quite yet. But it’s damn close.
Let me finish this preamble by examining another of Fiorina’s theses:
Finally, some words about immigration, a major bone of contention between Republicans and Democrats in the political class, although surprisingly, less important than commonly believed among normal Americans. Although the U.S. is an immigrant nation, today’s emphasis on ethnic identity politics understandably leads many people to conclude that today’s immigration differs from that of previous eras, with more negative implications. But the kinds of controversies the United States now is experiencing are strikingly similar to those that accompanied earlier large waves of immigration. Hanson certainly is correct in asserting that political pressures to assimilate are much lower today, but societal pressures remain strong. The evidence indicates that despite the rhetoric of ethnic identity group activists and today’s celebration of diversity, the American melting pot continues to boil. Ongoing studies report, for example, that English language acquisition is proceeding at a rate comparable to, if not faster than, that in the early 20th Century; in particular, by the third generation Latinos are English-dominant or fully bilingual.
Here’s my major problem with this perspective. In the early 20th century, immigrants came to America to find a predominantly (and fairly stubborn) Western-European / Protestant culture, so the incentive to assimilate and acculturate was strong. In today’s society, with its multi-culti insistence and hatred of the eeeevil Western European ethos, there is no incentive to assimilate. In fact, given the deliberate racial / ethnic / gender / cultural divisions caused by the Left, there is a negative incentive to do so because to assimilate is to wave goodbye to all the little financial and societal goodies given to members of all those little sub-groups by waves of Leftist / Progressive / neo-Socialist (and un-Constitutional, an argument for another time) government programs. And sorry, under such circumstances we don’t have three generations to see if the melting pot will work.
To summarize: all is not well — in fact, it’s as far from well as I can imagine — and to remain calm under such circumstances is not only counter-productive, it’s a formula for defeat. Which brings me to my principal point.
“So Kim, what should we do?”
Be aggressive as hell, and fight back (to quote that Commie fucker Obama, “Punch back twice as hard”).
- If you come out of a restaurant and find your car has been keyed because of your NRA decal, consider finding two cars with liberal decals (e.g. “Beto” (Texas) or “Resist!”), but don’t key the shit out of them: a simple splodge of black spray paint over the decal will suffice.
- If some Pantifa fuckwits threaten you with weapons at a protest / counter-protest event, be ready to pepper-spray or kick the shit out of them — do not be afraid to confront these cocksuckers. And if they escalate the violence… it will be their problem.
- If some baying liberals start screaming at you outside a restaurant, why not call the cops on them? Insist on laying charges of intimidation, public indecency, assault and hate crimes (yeah, let’s use the Left’s little weapons against them). And if the cops refuse to do anything, file suit against them.
- If Socialist professors call you out in class publicly for being a conservative or Republican, feel free to tell them that you intend bring civil charges (not university-based, but legal ones) against them personally for creating a “hostile study environment” (see above).
- If some feminist harpy accuses you of “rape” (regardless of definition), be sure to have filmed a little video of your encounter; then find a way to publish said video on the Internet as a counterweight to her accusations. Failing which, make sure you are never alone with a woman (see: the Pence Rule); or be sure to have witnesses who can be relied upon to take your side.
- If you’re asked to speak at a college campus and the Left starts going batshit and threatening you, say nothing; but consider quietly asking for some volunteer pro bono bodyguards to protect you — about two dozen should do it. (And if you’re asked to be one of those bodyguards, accept the gig. Wear a dark suit, white shirt, sturdy black shoes and a conservative tie, put an earpiece into your ear and talk into your cuff frequently. Also: equip yourself appropriately.)
- Always — always — insist on speaking, and being spoken to in English, regardless of circumstance. If the other guy continues to scream at you in Spanish, respond with random Spanish expressions such as “Tierra del Fuego!” or my favorite, “Huevos y putas!”. If being yelled at in Ebonics, simply say, “I’m sorry, but I don’t speak Zulu”.
- Feel free to add your own suggestions in Comments.
If all this sounds extreme, then let you remind me of the simple irrefutable truth of this situation: we didn’t start the extremism; the Left did. They are very fond of using the old Marxist trope of “Reactionary!” against us, but the problem is that we haven’t reacted enough, or at all, in the face of their criminal and confrontational behavior. (Note that I am not suggesting pre-emptive or “strike first” action. But it’s sure as hell time for us to bring a little reaction to the party.) And yes, some of what I’m suggesting might be considered illegal. Compared to what the Left have done against us, it’s nothing — and compare spraying someone’s car to tarring and feathering a British magistrate, back in 1776.
It’s time some of the Left’s little pigeons came home to roost — or else we’re forever doomed to be browbeaten, belittled, intimidated and ultimately beaten down by these power-hungry, amoral cocksuckers.
No more.
Yes, I’m aware I might get into trouble for this post. To those who might attempt to initiate some kind of violent action against me, I have a simple response: FOAD. Someone has to take a stand, and it might as well be this immigrant and naturalized citizen. And please: don’t bother with death threats, for obvious reasons.
Speaking of 1776 and 1860, there is a school of historical thinking which I encountered in John Batchelor’s ongoing and very interesting series of conversations with historian Michael Vlahos which describes them both as civil wars.
His take on the current situation is also “not quite yet” but he also notes that if it comes to “yet” the transition period is likely to be pretty short.
Well if they are both civil wars, the rebels won the first one and lost the second. Only real difference in the two was in the first one the supply lines of the state where too long. In the second the industry of the state over came the rural south.
No, if it gets sporty in Civil War III I am not sure who would have the advantage. If they wait another year to start it up the military would set it out. Right now I am not sure how they would come down.
But getting in there faces might be interesting.
They key phrase that you want to use is that you will “sign the charges” or “sign the complaint.” At that point, you are relieving the cops of the legal burden to swear to the offenses (which the likely didn’t witness) and are taking on the burden of pursuing things with the DA.
Once you sign the charges, it makes it very difficult for the DA to just drop the case. Usually, if they do something to get rid of the case, it counts as a loss for the DA in their statistics, and prosecutors are like apex predators — they can’t afford to lose fights.
It’s likely that the DA will accept a plea deal to knock the charges down from what you signed, but that at least means you put the leftist In the System and made them plead guilty and make an allocution.
A historic comparison also comes to mind, but it’s more Hitler ordering his non-existent armies around on his map in 1945.
The Left has long been tied to the Demographically Inevitable Permanent Democratic Majority (itself a subset of the Inevitable Rise of Socialism). The culture was supposed to turn Woke SJW, and they could just shame and bully the ever dwindling number of aging Conservatives. They thought they had the future in hand.
And the American media, being a wholly owned organ of the Democratic party, is still pushing this nonsense, hoping to shame and bully their way into a Blue Wave. So, they boost the signal to bring about a false consensus and a bandwagon effect.
But what we see is that it’s still not there for them. When they try to bully a Chic-Fil-A or Hobby Lobby for Badthink, there’s a line around the block. But contrawise, “Get Woke, Go Broke” is a thing. Companies “making a stand” for woke leftism tend to lose money, or just break even at best.
Media assisted tantrums in Democrat controlled cities aside, are we really seeing these sort of shenanigans in the rest of America?
Kim;
I like all of your actions listed except for the first.
Spray painting the commie decal is FAR to soft.
Two quarts of gasoline and two matches to burn two
progressive rides to the ground is more like it and actually
more like what the progressive commies actually do.
Turnabout IS fair play.
Velo,
Splooging a decal is at best a misdemeanor. Torching a car is a felony.
Don’t walk that path.
Old friend, if we didn’t go back so far I’d think you were a provocateur.
Civil wars really suck. And CW I here was fairly benign as far as civil wars go. They were all nice Victorians and did a limited amount of making war on women and children. Yeah, Sherman, Sheridan and Early did make war on property which under the circumstances had an impact on defenseless civilians but it was nothing like other civil wars. Plus, it was a relatively conventional war with regular armies and front lines, more or less. CW II won’t be like that. Think Russia or Mexico or Bosnia. No front lines, all sorts of vicious killers running around, no restraint by anyone. Closest thing we have experienced is the Missouri experience in CW I and perhaps the guerrilla war in SC during the Revolution (though the crap in The Patriot never happened). It will be millions dead and the country wrecked.
So we should seek to avoid it. Problem is that the left is not going to quit going down this road and I am disinclined to surrender. That leaves partition as the only solution I can see that does not involve excessive violence. That will be difficult and non-optimal but it beats civil war or surrender which seem to be the only other options.
I leave you with this:
When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
“They were all nice Victorians and did a limited amount of making war on women and children. ”
The winners wrote the history, as always. Ask the Iroquois why they called Washington “Town Burner”. Perfectly rational military decision: when you don’t have the troops to garrison an area, and don’t have the time to take your time and do it right by getting just the armed, turning an area your enemies are using for support into an area with neither population nor material for that is what you do. See ACW, Shenandoah and March through Georgia. And if you think that wasn’t “war on civilians”, can’t help you.
The reason that Lee was a lousy military commander is that he turned down Forrest’s suggestion to do the same things to the Northern areas that provided the food resources to sustain the Northern armies and manufacturing areas.
As for “Reign of Terror”? We had one in the Revolution too; the Sam Adams and Patrick Henry’s made sure that Tories had good reason to leave.
The difference in the next one is that we have neither a British Empire for Tories to retreat to, nor a frontier for the losers to start over again. That’s going to make it even nastier.
I’m sorry I don’t speak Zulu??? Thankee Kim, that ones going STRAIGHT into my middle finger retort portfolio!